Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
39.14% ( -0.05) | 25.09% ( 0.13) | 35.76% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% ( -0.6) | 46.17% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% ( -0.57) | 68.47% ( 0.57) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% ( -0.29) | 23.37% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.65% ( -0.42) | 57.34% ( 0.42) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( -0.33) | 25.19% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% ( -0.45) | 59.92% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 39.14% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |