Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.