Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Airdrieonians in this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
38.97% ( 0.94) | 24.67% ( -0.5) | 36.36% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 58.9% ( 1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.83% ( 2.28) | 44.17% ( -2.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.45% ( 2.18) | 66.55% ( -2.17) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% ( 1.51) | 22.57% ( -1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.83% ( 2.19) | 56.17% ( -2.18) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.07% ( 0.81) | 23.93% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.85% ( 1.14) | 58.15% ( -1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.97% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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