Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.75% ( 0.84) | 24.95% ( -0.12) | 28.3% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.84% ( 0.1) | 48.16% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.68% ( 0.09) | 70.32% ( -0.1) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( 0.41) | 20.64% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( 0.64) | 53.21% ( -0.64) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( -0.47) | 30.99% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( -0.56) | 67.29% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
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