Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.