Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.