Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 81.54%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.79%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Arbroath |
81.54% ( -0.34) | 12.42% ( 0.21) | 6.05% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 43.8% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.65% ( -0.44) | 34.35% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.74% ( -0.49) | 56.26% ( 0.5) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.61% ( -0.15) | 6.39% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.02% ( -0.43) | 23.98% ( 0.43) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.79% ( 0.11) | 53.21% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.22% ( 0.07) | 86.79% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.53% | 1-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.55% Total : 12.42% | 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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