Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.