Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.