Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dundee United in this match.