Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
32.62% ( -0.09) | 25.72% ( 0.07) | 41.65% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.42% ( -0.31) | 49.57% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.4% ( -0.28) | 71.6% ( 0.28) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( -0.21) | 28.72% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( -0.26) | 64.55% ( 0.26) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( -0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% ( -0.18) | 57.69% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |