Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.