Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
37.78% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( 0.32) | 36.78% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% ( -1.48) | 47.65% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -1.39) | 69.84% ( 1.39) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.25% ( -0.78) | 24.75% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.69% ( -1.11) | 59.31% ( 1.11) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.7% ( -0.75) | 25.3% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.93% ( -1.04) | 60.07% ( 1.04) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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