Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 55.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.