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Celtic logo
Scottish Cup | Final
Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Hampden Park
Inverness CT

Celtic
3 - 1
Inverness

Furuhashi (38'), Abada (65'), Jota (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
MacKay (84')
Carson (44'), Duffy (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Celtic and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, May 27 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 4-1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Celtic are understandably the firm favourites to come out on top and clinch another domestic treble, but a well-rested and fired-up Inverness outfit cannot be entirely written off this weekend. The potential absence of Furuhashi would be a major blow for the Hoops, but they have several other attacking threats that should be capable of firing Postecoglou's side to a comfortable victory at Hampden Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 4.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (1.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
85.82% (0.133 0.13) 9.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01) 4.56% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-1.434 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.58% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)26.41% (0.981 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.25% (-1.262 -1.26)46.74% (1.261 1.26)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.83% (-0.143 -0.14)4.17% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.58% (-0.45700000000001 -0.46)17.42% (0.457 0.46)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.92% (-1.423 -1.42)52.08% (1.423 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.94% (-0.95 -0.95)86.06% (0.95 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 85.82%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 4.56%
    Draw 9.62%
CelticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
3-0 @ 11.61% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 10.96% (0.44 0.44)
4-0 @ 9.22% (0.173 0.17)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.347 0.35)
4-1 @ 6.02% (-0.138 -0.14)
5-0 @ 5.86% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 3.82% (-0.131 -0.13)
6-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.136 -0.14)
6-1 @ 2.03% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
7-0 @ 1.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
7-1 @ 0.92% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 85.82%
1-1 @ 4.5% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.62%
1-2 @ 1.47% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 1.42% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 4.56%

How you voted: Celtic vs Inverness

Celtic
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2017 7.45pm
Inverness
0-4
Celtic

Laing (65')
Sinclair (43'), Dembele (46', 73'), Armstrong (66')
Feb 11, 2017 12.15pm
Fifth Round
Celtic
6-0
Inverness
Lustig (20'), Dembele (45'), Dembele (50', 59'), Tierney (86'), Brown (91')
Lustig (73')

Tremarco (29'), Draper (35'), Vigurs (37'), Warren (42')
Nov 5, 2016 3pm
Sep 18, 2016 3pm
Inverness
2-2
Celtic
King (28'), Fisher (89')
Vigurs (41'), Tremarco (66')
Rogic (17'), Sinclair (34')
Brown (26'), Sviatchenko (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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