MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:53:48| >> :60:147:147:
Inverness CT
Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Inverness
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

Mckay (24' pen.), Welsh (50')
Carson (34'), Duffy (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vassell (3')
Vassell (36'), Donnelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Inverness
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1-2 Kilmarnock

Inverness have had to rely upon the administrative errors of their opponents to even make it this far in a cup run, which may well come to an end this Friday if Kilmarnock can fend off their travel sickness to win the club's first Scottish Cup quarter-final since 1997. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawKilmarnock
42.85% (-0.061 -0.06) 26.13% (0.0040000000000013 0) 31.02% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.016000000000005 0.02)51.81% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.43% (0.013000000000002 0.01)73.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)23.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)58.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.051999999999992 0.05)30.91% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.8% (0.058 0.06)67.2% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 42.85%
    Kilmarnock 31.02%
    Draw 26.12%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.02%

How you voted: Inverness vs Kilmarnock

Inverness Caledonian Thistle
32.4%
Kilmarnock
67.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Dec 3, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
May 13, 2017 3pm
Kilmarnock
2-1
Inverness
Longstaff (17'), Jones (57')
Wilson (15'), Smith (16')
Fisher (71')
McKay (15')
rhs 2.0
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