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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Hearts logo

Celtic
2 - 0
Hearts

Engels (51' pen.), McCowan (90')
Kuhn (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Penrice (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Rangers
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-0 Hearts

While Hearts did beat Celtic twice last season, their current form is a huge concern, and it would be a surprise to see anything other than a convincing home win. The Hoops are in great form and are playing some sensational football, and while we expect them to make it five wins from five in the league this Saturday, they could have one eye on their Champions League opener in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawHearts
82.1% (0.196 0.2) 11.45% (-0.113 -0.11) 6.45% (-0.085 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.21% (0.25099999999999 0.25)26.79% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.77% (0.317 0.32)47.23% (-0.319 -0.32)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.17% (0.076000000000008 0.08)4.83% (-0.079 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.54% (0.238 0.24)19.46% (-0.24 -0.24)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)46.07% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (-0.026 -0.03)81.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 82.09%
    Hearts 6.45%
    Draw 11.45%
CelticDrawHearts
3-0 @ 10.31%
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 7.82% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 6.06% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 4.74% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 3.67% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.35% (0.01 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.014 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 82.09%
1-1 @ 5.22% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 11.45%
1-2 @ 2.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 6.45%

How you voted: Celtic vs Hearts

Celtic
86.3%
Draw
5.0%
Hearts
8.8%
80
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Celtic
3-0
Hearts
Furuhashi (4', 21'), O'Riley (87' pen.)

Shankland (18'), Devlin (52')
Mar 3, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 29
Hearts
2-0
Celtic
Grant (43' pen.), Shankland (56')
Cochrane (86'), Tait (90+4')

Johnston (81'), Kelly (89')
Yang (16')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Celtic
0-2
Hearts

Maeda (52')
Shankland (15'), Kingsley (30')
Oct 22, 2023 2.15pm
Gameweek 9
Hearts
1-4
Celtic
Shankland (64')
Vargas (58'), Sibbick (59')
O'Riley (4'), Maeda (23'), Furuhashi (51'), Iwata (81')
Iwata (90+2')
May 7, 2023 2.15pm
Gameweek 34
Hearts
0-2
Celtic
Furuhashi (67'), Oh (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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