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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Queen's Park

Hibernian
5 - 1
Queen's Park

O'Hora (15'), Boyle (19', 77'), Molotnikov (45+2'), Levitt (72')
Bushiri (70')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Turner (90+6')
Welsh (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Hibernian and Queen's Park, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elgin 0-5 Hibernian
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Peterhead 0-5 Queen's Park
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Hibernian 3-1 Queen's Park

Despite both teams making excellent starts in the group stage of the League Cup, it is difficult to ignore the fact that Hibs are a division higher than their opponents. However, given that both Queen's Park and Hibs won 5-0, they will no doubt feel confident of at least causing their hosts difficulties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawQueen's Park
48.71% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73) 23.58% (0.259 0.26) 27.7% (0.468 0.47)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.5% (-0.843 -0.84)42.5% (0.841 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.09% (-0.846 -0.85)64.9% (0.84400000000001 0.84)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (-0.595 -0.59)17.61% (0.594 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (-1.043 -1.04)48.19% (1.04 1.04)
Queen's Park Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)28.5% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (-0.121 -0.12)64.27% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 48.71%
    Queen's Park 27.7%
    Draw 23.58%
HibernianDrawQueen's Park
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.156 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.186 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.087 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.217 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.7%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Queen's Park

Hibernian
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Queen's Park
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
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