Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.