MX23RW : Monday, January 6 03:51:29| >> :600:1649568:1649568:
Motherwell logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Edinburgh City

Motherwell
3 - 0
Edinburgh

Balmer (43'), Casey (56'), O'Donnell (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jones (42'), Lynch (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Motherwell and Edinburgh City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Edinburgh City

All competitions
Last Game: Cove Rangers 3-1 Edinburgh
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League One

We said: Motherwell 4-0 Edinburgh City

 Although Edinburgh manager McIndoe did as well as could have been expected last season, it would be a surprise to see his side earn a win against Motherwell. Additionally, the home side should be strong favourites in Saturday's clash given their status as a top-flight team, in contrast to the visitors, who will begin the 2024-25 season in Scotland's League Two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 82.68%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 5.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.09%) and 4-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawEdinburgh City
82.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 11.39% (0.012 0.01) 5.93% (0.011 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.87% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)50.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48% (0.043999999999997 0.04)49.52% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)84.32% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 82.67%
    Edinburgh City 5.93%
    Draw 11.39%
MotherwellDrawEdinburgh City
2-0 @ 11.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0029999999999997 0)
6-1 @ 1.69%
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
7-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 82.67%
1-1 @ 5.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 2.77% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 11.39%
1-2 @ 1.87% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 5.93%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Edinburgh

Motherwell
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Edinburgh City
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Motherwell
5-0
Edinburgh
Frear (8', 24', 28'), Tait (18'), Main (44')

Black (69')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Group stage
Edinburgh
1-2
Motherwell
Grimes (69')
Thompson (60'), Mackie (87')
Cadden (74'), Frear (89')
rhs 2.0
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