Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 14.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.13%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.