Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
17.24% ( 0.04) | 19.62% ( -0.08) | 63.14% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.15% ( 0.47) | 36.85% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.97% ( 0.51) | 59.03% ( -0.51) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( 0.34) | 34.65% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( 0.36) | 71.37% ( -0.36) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% ( 0.15) | 11.14% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.42% ( 0.32) | 35.58% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
2-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |