Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
39.55% ( -0.13) | 24.25% ( -0.02) | 36.21% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 60.46% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.86% ( 0.14) | 42.14% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.45% ( 0.14) | 64.55% ( -0.14) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.61% ( 0) | 21.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.61% | 54.39% ( 0) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% ( 0.15) | 23.09% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.07% ( 0.22) | 56.93% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |