Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 76%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
76% ( -1.95) | 14.03% ( 0.96) | 9.97% ( 0.99) |
Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.16% ( -1.72) | 26.84% ( 1.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.72% ( -2.22) | 47.28% ( 2.22) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.15% ( -0.68) | 5.85% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.54% ( -1.97) | 22.46% ( 1.97) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( 0.53) | 38.11% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.12% ( 0.51) | 74.88% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.41) 4-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.37) 5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.26) 5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.22) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 76% | 1-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.03% | 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.54% Total : 9.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |