Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.55%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
28.93% ( 0.47) | 22.04% ( -0.01) | 49.03% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 65.51% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.77% ( 0.37) | 34.23% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.88% ( 0.42) | 56.12% ( -0.41) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( 0.48) | 23.46% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( 0.69) | 57.47% ( -0.69) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% ( -0.01) | 14.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.66% ( -0.03) | 42.34% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |