Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
43.17% ( -1.59) | 25.16% ( -0.17) | 31.67% ( 1.76) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( 1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.54% ( 1.5) | 47.46% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.33% ( 1.37) | 69.67% ( -1.37) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% ( -0.1) | 21.96% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% ( -0.15) | 55.25% ( 0.15) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( 1.95) | 28.3% ( -1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( 2.39) | 64.02% ( -2.39) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.17% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |