Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.