Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
27.64% ( -0.64) | 25.72% ( -0.21) | 46.63% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.5) | 51.74% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.43) | 73.51% ( -0.43) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.23) | 33.36% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.26) | 69.98% ( 0.26) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% ( 0.6) | 22.18% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.42% ( 0.89) | 55.58% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.65% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 28 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 26 |
7 | Montrose | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 24 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 13 |
10 | Dumbarton | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |