Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kelty Hearts in this match.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
49.16% ( -3.57) | 25.73% ( 1.1) | 25.1% ( 2.47) |
Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.49% ( -2.15) | 53.5% ( 2.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.98% ( -1.84) | 75.02% ( 1.85) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.21% ( -2.35) | 21.78% ( 2.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.02% ( -3.71) | 54.98% ( 3.71) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( 1.07) | 36.41% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( 1.06) | 73.2% ( -1.06) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.51) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.66) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.4) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.27% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |