It is difficult to see Hearts losing at their rivals on Tuesday, with their opponents putting in a very poor second-half display on Saturday and struggling overall since the return from the Scottish winter break.
The visitors are in great form and boast a strong record against their neighbours, but we expect the sides to cancel each other out and leave the derby with a share of the points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
