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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee

Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee

 Kilmarnock will feel confident of extending their excellent record in the league to five wins from six here against a Dundee side faltering slightly. Despite a strong recent record against Killie, the visitors were completely dominated by Celtic earlier this week and could find it tough again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee
43.41% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 29.89% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.23% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)54.5% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)75.85% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)24.91% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)59.53% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.89% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)33.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)69.7% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 43.41%
    Dundee 29.89%
    Draw 26.7%
KilmarnockDrawDundee
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.41%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

Kilmarnock
68.4%
Draw
26.3%
Dundee
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
> Preview
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
> Match Report
May 20, 2021 8.15pm
Final 1st Leg
Dundee
2-1
Kilmarnock
McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')
Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')
> Match Report
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Nelson (8', 20')
McGowan (7'), Horsfield (88')
McAleny (18'), Burke (54')
Tshibola (14'), Dicker (31')
> Match Report
Dec 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Kilmarnock
3-1
Dundee
Broadfoot (54'), Kusunga (66' og.), Stewart (79')
Miller (90')
Boyle (42'), Kusunga (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic24203167125563
2RangersRangers25165451193253
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2510783228437
4Aberdeen25105103238-635
5Hibernian258983737033
6Motherwell2594123042-1231
7Hearts2586113433130
8St Mirren2593133039-930
9Kilmarnock2577112840-1228
10Dundee2476113747-1027
11Ross County2568112447-2326
12St Johnstone2563162848-2021
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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