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Scottish Premiership
Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee logo

Motherwell
3 - 3
Dundee

Biereth (6'), Mugabi (68'), Wilkinson (90+7')
Butcher (44'), Casey (49'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Paton (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cameron (30'), Beck (34'), Robinson (88')
Boateng (80'), McCowan (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Motherwell
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Hibernian
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Dundee

 Motherwell's long winless run is bound to end soon, and Kettlewell needs it to in order to ease the pressure on himself, despite a spirited effort in drawing away to Celtic last week. However, Dundee have proved tricky opponents for many this season, and will look to break into the top six with a result here, having lost just two of their last eight games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee
31.79% (-0.22 -0.22) 26.8% (-0.146 -0.15) 41.41% (0.365 0.37)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.51300000000001 0.51)54.25% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.427 0.43)75.65% (-0.425 -0.42)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.113 0.11)31.62% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97% (0.129 0.13)68.03% (-0.128 -0.13)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (0.42800000000001 0.43)25.83% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (0.578 0.58)60.79% (-0.576 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 31.79%
    Dundee 41.4%
    Draw 26.8%
MotherwellDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-1 @ 7.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.62% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee
1-1
Motherwell
Cameron (68')
Bair (45')
Souare (72'), McGinley (79')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
1-1
Dundee
Efford (18')
McMullan (6')
Daley-Campbell (53'), Byrne (83')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee
3-0
Motherwell
McCowan (19'), Mullen (26'), Sweeney (49')
Mullen (45'), Sweeney (59'), Fontaine (76')

Slattery (10'), Mugabi (58'), Roberts (81')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Motherwell
1-0
Dundee
Watt (34')
van Veen (73'), Kelly (80')
Carroll (79')

McGowan (90+5')
> Match Report
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Dundee
1-0
Motherwell
Ashcroft (78')
Elliott (52'), Byrne (73'), Adam (90+1')

Donnelly (34'), Slattery (86')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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