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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee United

Motherwell
4 - 3
Dundee Utd

Stamatelopoulos (1', 40'), Halliday (33'), Sparrow (67')
Gordon (45'), Stamatelopoulos (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dalby (7' pen., 54'), Moult (87')
Babunski (3'), Sevelj (45'), Gallagher (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Motherwell
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Dundee United

These two sides are separated by just two points and one position in the Scottish Premiership table, leaving them rather evenly matched heading into this one, and with this, we predict this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee United
35.11% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03) 25.86% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 39.03% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.66% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.68% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.012 -0.01)27.21% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.37% (-0.012 -0.01)62.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)59.65% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 35.11%
    Dundee United 39.03%
    Draw 25.85%
MotherwellDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.11%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.03%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Motherwell
27.3%
Draw
36.4%
Dundee United
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Dundee Utd
1-2
Motherwell
Dalby (36')
Stephenson (20'), Adegboyega (61'), Ferry (80')
Maswanhise (23', 74')
Wilson (40'), Blaney (45+3'), Stamatelopoulos (52'), Kaleta (85')
Sep 20, 2024 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Motherwell
2-1
Dundee Utd
Robinson (45+1'), Miller (90+1' pen.)
McGinn (61'), Zdravkovski (90')
Moult (83')
Sibbald (45+3'), Adegboyega (54'), Gallagher (85'), Ubochioma (87'), Docherty (90+1')
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Motherwell
3-2
Dundee Utd
Van Veen (5'), Spittal (69'), Johnston (82')
Miller (52'), Blaney (56')
McGrath (31' pen.), Fletcher (49')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Motherwell
1-2
Dundee Utd
Van Veen (22')
Niskanen (63'), McGrath (71' pen.)
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic23193164115360
2RangersRangers24155447192850
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd2410773227537
4Aberdeen2410593236-435
5Motherwell2494112939-1031
6Hibernian247983537-230
7St Mirren2493123038-830
8Dundee2376103741-427
9Hearts2476112833-527
10Ross County2468102443-1926
11Kilmarnock2467112740-1325
12St Johnstone2453162748-2118


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