Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
42.19% (![]() | 24.51% (![]() | 33.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.01% (![]() | 43.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.63% (![]() | 66.36% (![]() |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% (![]() | 20.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% (![]() | 53.68% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% (![]() | 25.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.54% (![]() | 60.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 8.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 11.41% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 7.78% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12 | 64 | 69 |
2 | RangersRangers | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 20 | 34 | 56 |
3 | Aberdeen | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Hibernian | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 34 |
6 | St Mirren | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 31 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31 |
8 | Motherwell | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
9 | Hearts | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Ross County | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 29 |
11 | Dundee | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 27 |
12 | St Johnstone | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |