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Scottish Premiership
Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Livingston logo

Motherwell
1 - 0
Livingston

van Veen (68' pen.)
Morris (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bahamboula (74')
Bahamboula (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

Last Six:
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Motherwell
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Livingston

Last Six:
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Hibernian
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 2-2 Livingston

 Both teams have shown their qualities in the opening three matches to this point, and they have been great offensively, causing problems for other teams that they have faced. Because of that, there is a good chance that there will be plenty of goals in this one, and with very little to separate them right now a draw could be the end result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawLivingston
34.27% (0.305 0.31) 28.67% (0.123 0.12) 37.06% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 45.75% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.27% (-0.411 -0.41)60.73% (0.409 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.21% (-0.311 -0.31)80.79% (0.30900000000001 0.31)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.87% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-0.476 -0.48)31.45% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)67.83% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 34.27%
    Livingston 37.05%
    Draw 28.66%
MotherwellDrawLivingston
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.45% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Livingston

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
19.4%
Livingston
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Livingston
2-2
Motherwell
Bailey (26'), Forrest (58')
Kelly (80')
Slattery (72'), Lamie (90+3')
Slattery (61'), Johansen (90+2')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-1
Livingston
Van Veen (13', 69')
Anderson (87')
Sibbald (42'), Longridge (47'), Kelly (85')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Livingston
1-2
Motherwell
Forrest (38')
Fitzwater (18')
Watt (48'), Grimshaw (79')
Grimshaw (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
3-1
Livingston
Cole (31' pen., 59'), Long (69')
O'Donnell (63'), Long (78')
Fitzwater (60')
Bartley (47'), Guthrie (58'), Sibbald (70'), Devlin (78')
> Match Report
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Livingston
0-2
Motherwell

Guthrie (45+1'), Bartley (66')
Lang (22'), Watt (45+2')
Maguire (70'), Watt (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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