Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Dundee United |
41.54% ( 0.05) | 26.76% ( 0.03) | 31.7% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( -0.13) | 54.11% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( -0.11) | 75.53% ( 0.11) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( -0.03) | 25.69% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( -0.04) | 60.61% ( 0.05) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( -0.11) | 31.61% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -0.13) | 68.01% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |