We said: Ross County 1-1 Livingston
In a match with significance for both sides, we expect a tight affair that will produce plenty of opportunities and could go right to the wire.
This will be reflected in the scoreline, as Ross County and Livingston will be inseparable on the day, resulting in the pair claiming a point apiece.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.