Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
37.58% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) | 36.53% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% ( 0.02) | 49.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.01) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( 0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.27% ( 0.02) | 60.72% ( -0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 0) | 26.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 0) | 61.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |