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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Gueye (23', 65')
McGrath (67'), Palaversa (90+2'), Rubezic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lyons (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-0 Queen's Park
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock

These two sides have had polar opposite starts to the campaign, and with the hosts proving unstoppable across all competitions so far, we expect a comfortable victory for Aberdeen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
73.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 16.66% (0.00099999999999767 0) 9.59%
Both teams to score 45.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (0.00099999999999056 0)9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.48% (0.0019999999999953 0)32.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.61% (0.0049999999999955 0)49.39% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)84.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 73.74%
    Kilmarnock 9.59%
    Draw 16.66%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
2-0 @ 13.05%
1-0 @ 11.23%
3-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 5.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.15%
5-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 73.74%
1-1 @ 7.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.41%
1-2 @ 2.79%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 9.59%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
92.7%
Draw
2.4%
Kilmarnock
4.9%
41
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Aberdeen
3-1
Kilmarnock
McGrath (11'), Shinnie (33'), Findlay (66' og.)
MacKenzie (46'), McGrath (70'), Shinnie (90')
Armstrong (41')
Armstrong (62'), Wright (62')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Ndaba (45+5'), Kennedy (58')
Armstrong (77')

Warnock (0')
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
0-1
Kilmarnock

Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')
Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Vassell (45+5'), Watkins (64')
Lyons (85')

Gartenmann (45+1'), Shinnie (45+3'), Sokler (89')
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Aberdeen
2-0
Kilmarnock
Lopes (1', 59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1514104444043
2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd166642519624
6St Mirren176382228-621
7Dundee165472729-219
8Kilmarnock184681935-1618
9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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