Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
32.06% ( -0.17) | 26.58% ( 0.02) | 41.36% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% ( -0.11) | 53.3% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( -0.1) | 74.85% ( 0.1) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( -0.17) | 30.95% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( -0.2) | 67.25% ( 0.21) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( 0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% ( 0.04) | 60.24% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.06% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |