Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.26%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 3.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
87.26% ( -0.46) | 8.8% ( 0.33) | 3.94% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 44.41% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.57% ( -1.13) | 25.43% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.53% ( -1.49) | 45.47% ( 1.49) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.21% ( -0.25) | 3.79% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.81% ( -0.82) | 16.19% ( 0.82) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.16% ( -0.4) | 53.84% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.82% ( -0.25) | 87.18% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
3-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.36) 4-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.35) 5-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 6-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 7-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 7-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.79% Total : 87.25% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.54% Total : 8.8% | 1-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |