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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Kilmarnock logo

St Mirren
0 - 0
Kilmarnock


Fraser (52'), Dunne (57'), Gogic (75')
FT

Wright (56'), Armstrong (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 4-0 St Mirren
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-1 Kilmarnock

In a match with permutations at both ends of the table, both sides will view this as an opportunity to take three points to strengthen their league position. This time round, St Mirren will make the most of their opportunities and claim another victory at the SMISA Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
40.49% (-0.131 -0.13) 29.37% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 30.14% (0.193 0.19)
Both teams to score 42.93% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.26% (0.24 0.24)63.74% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17% (0.172 0.17)83% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.045999999999992 0.05)30.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.052 0.05)67.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (0.283 0.28)37.88% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.276 0.28)74.65% (-0.274 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 40.48%
    Kilmarnock 30.14%
    Draw 29.36%
St MirrenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 30.14%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock

St Mirren
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock
0.0%
16
Head to Head
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
Lafferty (8', 62'), Kiltie (81')
Lafferty (34'), Power (61')
McGrath (63'), MacPherson (78'), Quaner (83')
Finlayson (38')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-3
St Mirren
St Mirren win 5-4 on penalties
Rossi (37'), Kiltie (44'), Millen (101' pen.)
Oakley (66'), Tshibola (90+3'), Dicker (108')
Durmus (25'), Shaughnessy (84'), McGrath (119' pen.)
McCarthy (82'), McAllister (101'), Alnwick (101')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
St Mirren
Whitehall (12')
Mulumbu (23'), McGowan (89'), Rogers (90+1')
Rogers (90' og.)
McAllister (71'), Doyle-Hayes (90+3')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Kilmarnock

Foley (43'), Fraser (56'), Morias (83'), Sheron (84'), McCarthy (87')
Kabamba (28')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic2219216185359
2RangersRangers21125438172141
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd239763124734
4Aberdeen2110473230234
5Motherwell2394102837-931
6Hibernian237883436-229
7St Mirren2383112738-1127
8Dundee2275103438-426
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County2367102342-1925
11Hearts2265112531-623
12St Johnstone2243152444-2015


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