Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 1Motherwell
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ross County 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 11 | Dundee United | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 4 | -8 | 1 |
Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Livingston
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rangers | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Hearts | 4 | 2 | 7 |
We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Motherwell
The two sides head into this weekend's game in contrasting form, with Kilmarnock desperate to secure their first three points of the new season. The home crowd at Rugby Park are sure to spur McInnes's men on, but we feel that Motherwell will continue their strong start by claiming a slender away victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
47.51% ( 0.07) | 26.62% ( 0.01) | 25.87% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.86% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0.08) | 56.28% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( -0.06) | 77.32% ( 0.07) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0) | 23.71% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.17% ( 0) | 57.83% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.11) | 37.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.95% ( -0.11) | 74.05% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 47.5%
Motherwell 25.87%
Draw 26.62%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 25.87% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell
Kilmarnock
8.3%Draw
8.3%Motherwell
83.3%12
Form Guide
