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Alaves logo
Segunda Division | Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
4 - 2
UD Ibiza

Rioja (11', 23', 36' pen.), Alkain (90+5')
Rober (6'), Rober (6+6'), Abqar (53')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Diop (41'), Zenitagoia (51' pen.)
Escobar (27'), Pascual (44'), Morante (82')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and UD Ibiza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaragoza 1-4 Alaves
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: UD Ibiza 1-1 Ponferradina
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawUD Ibiza
57.73% (0.186 0.19) 25.39% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 16.87% (-0.1 -0.1)
Both teams to score 40.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46% (0.143 0.14)60.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (0.106 0.11)80.64% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (0.134 0.13)21.07% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.208 0.21)53.89% (-0.207 -0.21)
UD Ibiza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)49.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.85% (-0.032 -0.03)84.15% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 57.72%
    UD Ibiza 16.87%
    Draw 25.39%
AlavesDrawUD Ibiza
1-0 @ 16.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.54% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.54% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.72%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.38% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.87%

How you voted: Alaves vs UD Ibiza

Alaves
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
UD Ibiza
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 9pm
UD Ibiza
1-1
Alaves
Camara (10')
Morante (35'), Carlos (69'), Shashoua (77'), Garcia (86')
Rioja (54')
Abqar (43'), Maras (51')
rhs 2.0
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