Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves0 - 1Sevilla
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 16 clash between Alaves and Sevilla.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Oviedo 1-0 Alaves
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Sevilla |
29.78% ( -0.11) | 27.85% ( 0.25) | 42.37% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.2% ( -0.91) | 58.8% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.68% ( -0.71) | 79.32% ( 0.71) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% ( -0.56) | 35.47% ( 0.57) |