We said: Alcorcon 0-2 Eibar
Almeria and Real Valladolid will both be hoping that Alcorcon can do them a favour this weekend, and the basement side have picked up some impressive results in recent weeks, but we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a routine victory for the league leaders.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 47.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.