Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.