Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.