Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.