Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.41%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.